Armenia is caught in the snare of an evil triangle, both politically and strategically, much like the Bermuda Triangle. The jury is out on the scientific verification of the Bermuda Triangle, but the dangers emanating from the one surrounding Armenia are very real.
There is a web of economic and strategic interests around Armenia, controlled by Russia, Turkey and Azerbaijan.
Understandably, these countries have their own national interests to which they need to attend first. In the case of Turkey and Azerbaijan, their national interests run counter to those of Armenia. Enemies can only offer hostility and threats, but the nature of our strategic ally’s interest remains in a mysterious fog.
Armenia has signed a long-term defense pact with Russia but against whom? The pact is supposed to serve Armenia’s security interests, which remain precarious, to say the least.
If Armenia will be defended against its enemies, namely Turkey and Azerbaijan, we do not see any indication of that in Russia’s behavior. Azerbaijan is armed primarily by Russia. Many officials in Armenia have been glossing over the issue, characterizing it as a business deal, but the public is not comforted by those excuses.
From the Russian side, different interpretations are being offered: that the arms deal with Azerbaijan is a simple business transaction. Or, if Russia does not supply the arms, Baku will turn elsewhere. Recently, another excuse or interpretation has emerged, that by supplying arms to both sides, Russia will maintain its leverage and preserve the balance of power.