After the collapse of first three ceasefires, brokered by the co-chairs of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), very few people had any confidence that the fourth one, agreed on in Geneva, would hold.
All the ceasefires have proved to be misfires, because Azerbaijan broke the agreements the very same day they were signed.
Bombings continued and even intensified, using internationally banned incendiary phosphate bombs over forests and civilian populations.
In retrospect, when we review the terms and conditions of earlier ceasefires, mostly in 1994 and 2016, we find that they proved to be effective, because of Russia’s influence over the two warring parties.
This time around, President Ilham Aliyev does not give a damn about Russian influence, because Russia has lost Azerbaijan to Turkey. Even Aliyev himself has lost his country to Turkish leader Recep Tayyip Erdogan who calls the shots.
People are dying in Karabakh and jihadist terrorists have been wreaking havoc with their mission and commission of beheading Armenians ($100 per head) yet we hear only lip service from the world community, which was up in arms when Al-Baghdadi proclaimed his caliphate using the same Islamic terrorists.